U.S.
Online Consumer Sales Surge to $53 Billion in 2001, comScore
Reports
Reston, VA January 16, 2002 comScore Networks today announced the results of the first complete review of consumer e-commerce for the year 2001, reporting that sales at domestic online retailers surged to $53 billion for the year. Excluding online Travel, comScore reports sales totaled $33.7 billion, reflecting a growth rate of approximately 20% vs. the year 2000.
While in some ways the trend in online sales mirrored that seen in total retail, there were some notable exceptions. Signs of mid-year softness in non-Travel sales were offset by what was at the time a strong period of growth in the online Travel sector.
Annual
Overview: Total Industry
Following September 11 (and the American Airlines crash of November 12), and as the holidays approached, the Travel sector entered a slump from which it has recovered; at the same time, the Internet became a channel of choice for consumers who sought to defend their quality of life and their budgets with the convenience and price comparison benefits that the Internet offers.
Table 1: Online Consumer Sales at
U.S. Sites (excluding Auctions)
|
($ millions)
|
1Q01
|
2Q01
|
3Q01
|
4Q01
|
2001 Total
|
|
Total
|
$
11,482
|
$
12,477
|
$
13,300
|
$
15,807
|
$
53,066
|
|
Non-Travel
|
$
7,755
|
$
7,585
|
$
7,565
|
$
10,804
|
$
33,709
|
|
Travel
|
$
3,727
|
$
4,892
|
$
5,735
|
$
5,003
|
$
19,357
|
"In July and August, online Travel sales reached a fever pitch, fueled by consumer comfort with buying online, deep price discounts, and new choices in online agencies," noted Dan Hess, comScore vice president. "But after September 11th, the sector's sales fell dramatically, before beginning a slow recovery. However, comScore data for the first two weeks of January 2002 show a strong resurgence in online travel spending. Needless to say, we'll be closely watching the category going forward."
Table 2: Percent of Year 2001 Online Consumer Dollar Sales
by Month (excluding Auctions)
|
% of FY 2001 Sales
|
Jan
|
Feb
|
Mar
|
Apr
|
May
|
Jun
|
Jul
|
Aug
|
Sep
|
Oct
|
Nov
|
Dec
|
|
TOTAL
|
7%
|
7%
|
8%
|
7%
|
8%
|
8%
|
9%
|
9%
|
7%
|
8%
|
10%
|
12%
|
|
Non-Travel
|
7%
|
8%
|
8%
|
7%
|
8%
|
8%
|
8%
|
8%
|
7%
|
8%
|
10%
|
14%
|
|
Travel
|
6%
|
7%
|
6%
|
7%
|
9%
|
9%
|
11%
|
11%
|
7%
|
9%
|
9%
|
8%
|
Noteworthy
Days of 2001
As the Internet came into its own as a vibrant shopping venue,
comScore's analysis highlighted key dates and statistics of
interest throughout the year.
The
highest sales day of the year was Wednesday, December 12th the height of the holiday season which posted $321.6 million for the day. The lowest sales day of the year was January 1st. Online sales on weekend days are generally lower than on weekdays (when many shoppers are able to use the high speed Internet connections at their place of work) and three-day weekends generally extend that same pattern, explained Mr. Hess.
The
strongest weekend of the year also occurred during the holidays:
December 15-16 rang up $341.1 million in sales a level 132%
greater than the average weekend. Not surprisingly, the lowest
weekend sales were posted over September 15-16, as the wake
of the September 11th tragedies was felt in every
corner of society and industry.
The average weekend day brings $97 million in sales, but average
weekday (Monday-Friday) is a full 60% greater at $155 million,
due to increased shopping activity at work-based PCs.
Leading
Online Categories
comScore data show that at its third quarter peak, Travel accounted for over 40% of online sales; however, it finished the fourth quarter with the same 32% share at which it opened the year.
Computer
Hardware and Consumer Electronics were the hot products of
the holidays; together these categories started the year at
19% of total sales and ended 2001 accounting for 24%.
"The trends we've seen in Travel, Computers and Consumer Electronics are consistent with more recent reports of overall strength in these sectors at retail," said Gian Fulgoni, comScore chairman and co-founder, "though the trends were clear in comScore's online shopping data several weeks before any retail measures were available."
Table
3: Share of Total Online Sales by Category
|
Category
|
Q1
2001
|
Q2
2001
|
Q3
2001
|
Q4
2001
|
FY
2001
|
|
Travel
|
32%
|
39%
|
43%
|
32%
|
36%
|
|
Computer Hardware
|
14%
|
12%
|
15%
|
17%
|
15%
|
|
Apparel &
Accessories
|
11%
|
9%
|
8%
|
11%
|
10%
|
|
Office
|
11%
|
7%
|
7%
|
7%
|
8%
|
|
Consumer Electronics
|
5%
|
6%
|
5%
|
7%
|
6%
|
|
Books
|
5%
|
4%
|
4%
|
4%
|
4%
|
|
Event Tickets
|
2%
|
4%
|
3%
|
2%
|
3%
|
|
Home & Garden
|
2%
|
2%
|
3%
|
3%
|
2%
|
|
Music
|
2%
|
2%
|
1%
|
2%
|
2%
|
|
Health &
Beauty
|
2%
|
2%
|
2%
|
2%
|
2%
|
|
All Other Categories
|
14%
|
13%
|
9%
|
13%
|
12%
|
|
Total
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
Online
Buying Data Predicts Industry Performance
One noteworthy contrast to the Computer industry's positive results is Gateway Inc. (NYSE: GTW), which recently reported a significant revenue shortfall. However, comScore data identified this trend well in advance of Gateway's report. comScore chairman Fulgoni commented that "Gateway's announcement came as no real surprise to us, since we had seen their online sales declining despite substantial growth in traffic to Gateway's Web site. It would appear that competitive pricing pressures were at the root of their problem."
"Similarly," continued Mr. Fulgoni, "comScore data clearly illustrated the surprise softness reported by booksellers in the month of September. Again, this underscores the utility of comScore data as a leading indicator of company and sector performance."
Table 4: comScore Online Book Sales by Month – Year 2001 ($
millions)
|
Jan
|
Feb
|
Mar
|
Apr
|
May
|
Jun
|
Jul
|
Aug
|
Sep
|
Oct
|
Nov
|
Dec
|
|
$204
|
$180
|
$199
|
$160
|
$172
|
$154
|
$152
|
$171
|
$164
|
$189
|
$189
|
$233
|
Brisk
Purchase Activity Continues From U.S. Work Machines
Past comScore research was reinforced by the finding that work-based PCs , which comprise less than half of U.S. computers, actually drive almost 60% of U.S. online dollars, with an even greater skew within certain categories (see Table 5).
Table
5: Top Categories Based on Share of U.S. Category Dollars
Purchased from U.S. at-Work PCs – (2001)
Category
|
Share
of U.S. Category Dollars
Purchased from U.S. at-Work PCs |
|
Office
|
92% |
|
Travel
|
62% |
|
Flowers &
Gifts
|
58% |
|
Computer Hardware
|
57% |
|
Books
|
55% |
|
Computer Software
|
54% |
|
Consumer Electronics
|
54% |
|
Jewelry &
Watches
|
53% |
|
Home & Garden
|
49% |
|
Event Tickets
|
48% |
Armed
with the increased speed and convenience of a workplace Internet
connection, U.S. online shoppers at work-based PCs buy more
often than those at other locations such as Home, Work or
Universities. They also spend the most on average per month,
followed (in order) by buyers at Home, in Universities/Colleges
and non-U.S. buyers.
Table
6: Average Monthly Dollars Spent per Buyer by Location (2001)
Location
|
Average
Monthly Dollars Spent per Buyer
|
|
US Work
|
$
229
|
|
US Home
|
$
165
|
|
US School
|
$
146
|
|
Non-U.S.
|
$
128
|
comScore
analysts noted that these findings underscore the importance
of targeting advertising and promotional efforts to shoppers
when they are at the true point of purchase, research
and decision-making.
International
Sales at U.S. Sites
comScore's report revealed for the first time that 15% of total dollar sales at U.S. e-commerce sites are to Web users residing outside of the U.S. "For retailers of categories in which International sales drive substantial revenue, this presents noteworthy opportunities and considerations in marketing strategy and product mix, driven by a more detailed understanding of worldwide category consumers," noted Mr. Hess.
Table 7: Top Categories Based on Share of Total Category Dollars Purchased from Non-U.S. PCs *U.S. Web Sites Only (2001)
Category
|
Share
of Total Category Dollars Purchased from Non-U.S. PCs
(U.S. Web Sites Only)
|
|
Movies &
Video
|
34%
|
|
Computer Software
|
30%
|
|
Music
|
26%
|
|
Furniture &
Appliances
|
20%
|
|
Books
|
19%
|
|
Jewelry &
Watches
|
18%
|
|
Video Games
|
17%
|
|
Gift Certificates
& Coupons
|
16%
|
|
Consumer Electronics
|
14%
|
|
Travel
|
12%
|
Demographic
Highlights
An
analysis conducted on November 2001 comScore data found significant
differences in online buying patterns across key demographic
segments. For example:
comScore
Methodology
comScore's sales figures are based on the actual buying activity
of a representative and massive cross-section of more than
1.5 million Internet-using individuals, who have given comScore
permission to confidentially monitor their browsing and buying
behavior using comScore's patent-pending technology. The comScore
data are available within 24 to 48 hours following the end
of the time period being monitored.
comScore's passive monitoring approach has been acknowledged by research experts to be significantly more precise than that used by other market research firms, which are inevitably based on self-reported behavior among surveyed consumers sometimes only several hundred in number. This research approach is problematic, both because it requires consumers to remember the complete details of every purchase which few people are able to do and because the small measurement sample yields a very small number of purchases from which to develop projections.
"comScore has created a powerful database to measure purchasing behavior on the Internet. comScore's large sample size and ability to monitor the behavior of that sample are unique," stated Dr. Steven N. Kaplan, Neubauer Family Professor of Entrepreneurship and Finance at the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business.
"Because the data are collected automatically and passively, comScore's database avoids the inaccuracies of self-reporting," continued Professor Kaplan. "With its large sample size, comScore is in a superior position to address and avoid selection biases that render many surveys and panels unreliable. Finally, the granularity and flexibility of the comScore database have the potential to uncover purchasing behaviors and relationships that would not be discernible in smaller, less detailed samples."
Note:
comScore's estimate of non-Travel sales growth vs. 2000 is
based on a comparison of comScore Networks data for FY2001
to the U.S. Department of Commerce estimate for FY2000, adjusted
for differences in categories (e.g. Dept of Commerce excludes
Event Tickets but includes Auction Fees).
About
comScore Networks
comScore Networks provides the Internet E-conomy with data-based infrastructure services that help improve sales and marketing effectiveness. Through its patent-pending Customer Knowledge Platform, comScore provides a confidentially captured, 360-degree view of the surfing behavior of more than 1.5 million opt-in Internet users, while simultaneously capturing detailed information on their online and offline buying. By leveraging this superior customer knowledge, comScore clients can optimize their decision-making and fuel high-performance, multi-channel CRM solutions. comScore's suite of services including netScore, comScore Global Network Solutions, and comScore Private Network Solutions -- provides enterprises with a detailed understanding of the surfing and buying behavior of today's online consumers including what they buy, how often, where, and how much they spend. comScore services are used by global leaders such as Microsoft, Kraft, Johnson & Johnson, Starwood Hotels and Resorts, GlaxoSmithKline, Hyatt Hotels, Dell, and AT&T. For more information, please visit www.comscore.com and www.netscoreonline.com.